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Forecast EPS Trend

Consensus earnings forecast trends are even more significant than the forecasts themselves.

The forecast trend is the current forecast for a period, say the current fiscal year, compared to forecasts for the same period one, two, or three months ago. A positive trend in forecasts tells you that analysts are becoming increasingly optimistic about the company's prospects, and a positive earnings surprise is likely. Conversely, a negative trend raises the specter of further forecast reductions and a negative surprise at report time.


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