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Chapter Ten. Are You Overconfident? > What Your Score Means

What Your Score Means

The 10 trivia questions were not designed to test how much you know about obscure facts. Rather, they were designed to illustrate how overconfident most of us are in saying that we know what we don’t know.

Depending upon the degree to which you might suffer from overconfidence, the quality of your decision process will suffer. The lower the number of items that you got right, the more you tend to exhibit overconfidence. And this can show itself in several ways when you make decisions. It can lead you to seek support for your initial views on a problem and to ignore disconfirming evidence. It can restrict the number of alternatives you feel you need to develop. And it can close your mind to analyzing your alternatives thoroughly.


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